At 430p, is the BP share price a bargain not to be missed?

With high oil prices and a low P/E ratio, the BP share price could be undervalued and provide future growth.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Key Points

  • BP's revenue grew from $105.9bn to $157bn between 2020 and 2021
  • It swung from a $24.8bn loss in 2020 to a $15.2bn profit in 2021
  • With a lower forward P/E ratio than a major competitor, it may be a bargain

BP (LSE:BP), the global oil and gas production firm, is a constituent of the FTSE 100 index and is one of the biggest companies in its industry. With the BP share price currently trading at 430p, I’m wondering if it’s a bargain I shouldn’t miss. As oil prices remain high, should I add this business to my long-term portfolio? Let’s take a closer look.

Strong results and surging oil prices

The company has showed remarkable resilience following the devastation of the pandemic. In March 2020, Brent crude oil fell to under $20 per barrel. 

This had a negative impact on the BP share price, because the value of oil was less than the cost of production. 

Unsurprisingly, BP slumped to a $24.8bn loss in 2020. The following year, however, it reported a bumper profit of $15.2bn. 

This was largely due to surging oil prices following the large-scale reopening of economies after the pandemic. Furthermore, the conflict in Ukraine has pushed up oil prices too.

At the time of writing, both Brent and WTI crude oil are trading above $110 per barrel. 

Between 2020 and 2021, BP revenue also grew from $105.9bn to $157bn.

With investment bank Morgan Stanley forecasting a price of $130 per barrel for Brent crude, it’s possible that this surging oil price trend could continue. This may be positive news for the BP share price.

Why the BP share price may be undervalued

I’ve also suspected that the share price is a bargain at current levels. By referring to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, I can better understand if a share price is cheap. P/E ratios are found by dividing the share price by earnings. 

BP has a forward P/E ratio (found by dividing the share price by forecast earnings) of 4.95. On its own, this figure doesn’t tell me that much. 

When compared with another company in the industry, however, it may indicate if BP is in bargain territory.

Shell, for instance, has a forward P/E ratio of 6.57, higher than BP. This may suggest its UK-listed peer is currently undervalued.

Investment bank Berenberg also recently increased its price target from 450p to 500p. So with the shares at 430p, they may have higher to climb in the future.

Despite this, the firm did sell its stake in Russian energy business Rosneft after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This led to a $23bn loss when the stake was sold. 

There’s also the potential threat of a windfall tax on major oil companies in the UK. 

Overall, BP is clearly a major player in the oil and gas industry. It has rebounded quickly from pandemic difficulties and is currently benefiting from consistently high oil prices. This could continue. I’m also attracted by the potential cheapness of the BP share price and I’ll be buying some shares soon. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Andrew Woods has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Illustration of flames over a black background
Investing Articles

Here’s why I’m staying well clear of Rivian stock

Electric vehicles have excited investors for years now, but can be hit or miss. Here's why Gordon Best will be…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

A 6%+ yield but down 24%! Time for me to buy more of this hidden FTSE 250 gem?

After a rapid share price fall, this FTSE 250 stock's dividend yield has risen, leaving me wondering whether I should…

Read more »

View of Lake District. English countryside with fields in the foreground and a lake and hills behind.
Investing Articles

The United Utilities share price is recovering after mixed earnings report and sewage spill

Is a mild increase in revenue and slightly boosted dividend enough to save the United Utilities share price in light…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

Here’s why the Legal & General share price looks super attractive to me

Jon Smith flags up an important characteristic about the Legal & General share price that makes it appealing to him…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

To aim for £1,000 a month in passive income, should I buy growth shares or value shares?

Deciding which shares are the best to invest in is important when considering long-term passive income. However, there are several…

Read more »

Asian man looking concerned while studying paperwork at his desk in an office
Investing Articles

Here’s why I think AMD stock should be higher

The semiconductor sector has been on a tear lately, but here's why Gordon Best thinks AMD stock still has plenty…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Here’s what investors need to know about the latest Warren Buffett stock

The mystery stock Warren Buffett has been buying has been disclosed to be Chubb – an above-average business at a…

Read more »

Smiling young man sitting in cafe and checking messages, with his laptop in front of him.
Investing Articles

The Sage share price slides on half-year results: is it time to buy?

Sage’s share price has slipped on an uncertain outlook. But the company’s results suggest it’s still making good progress, says…

Read more »